Lee JuCom2025-10-01 11:58
💥 Bitcoin’s Rare September Gains Point to Explosive Q4
September has a reputation for being brutal to Bitcoin — but this year is different. BTC is set to close the month up ~4.5%, and history shows that when September ends in the green, Q4 tends to deliver fireworks.
Data from previous cycles (2015, 2016, 2023, 2024) shows that a positive September was followed by average Q4 returns of ~53%, with October usually acting as the launchpad. In those years, BTC rallies ranged from 45% to 66%, often leading to new highs. If the pattern holds, we could be looking at $170K BTC before year-end.
On-chain signals back the bullish case:
🟡 Spot Taker CVD flipped positive for the first time since July → stronger buy pressure building.
🟡 Coinbase premium index shows US investors accumulating aggressively in Q3.
Of course, past performance isn’t a guarantee, but seasonality has been one of the most consistent drivers in Bitcoin’s history. Combine that with strong spot demand and thinning supply — and Q4 might just be the stage for the next leg up.
#cryptocurrency #Bitcoin #JuExchange #blockchain
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Lee JuCom
2025-10-01 11:59
💥 Bitcoin’s Rare September Gains Point to Explosive Q4
[{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"September has a reputation for being brutal to Bitcoin — but this year is different. BTC is set to close the month up ~4.5%, and history shows that when September ends in the green, Q4 tends to deliver fireworks."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Data from previous cycles (2015, 2016, 2023, 2024) shows that a positive September was followed by average Q4 returns of ~53%, with October usually acting as the launchpad. In those years, BTC rallies ranged from 45% to 66%, often leading to new highs. If the pattern holds, we could be looking at $170K BTC before year-end."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"On-chain signals back the bullish case:"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🟡 Spot Taker CVD flipped positive for the first time since July → stronger buy pressure building."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🟡 Coinbase premium index shows US investors accumulating aggressively in Q3."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Of course, past performance isn’t a guarantee, but seasonality has been one of the most consistent drivers in Bitcoin’s history. Combine that with strong spot demand and thinning supply — and Q4 might just be the stage for the next leg up."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""},{"type":"topic","character":"cryptocurrency","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"Bitcoin","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"JuExchange","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"blockchain","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "}]}]
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📈 Market Overview (01/10/2025)[{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🔸BTC: $116,337"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🔸ETH: $4,297"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🔹Fear/Greed: 49 (Neutral)"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🔹BTC.D: 58.83%"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🚀 Bitcoin is pushing toward $117K, riding momentum from a strong September (+5.2%) and Q3 (+6.3%). The next big resistance sits near $117.5K — a breakout there could open the path to new ATHs."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"💡 Still, liquidity dynamics remain tricky. Heavy long positions are stacked just below price, and some analysts warn that BTC could dip to “flush” leverage before continuing higher."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🥇 Meanwhile, gold hit another all-time high at $3,895/oz, reviving the BTC–gold correlation. Historically, Bitcoin has lagged gold by weeks before catching up, and some traders now see conditions aligning for a rotation from gold into BTC."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"In short: Bitcoin looks strong, but with liquidity traps lurking below, the next few sessions will show whether bulls can flip $117.5K into support — or if another shakeout comes first."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""},{"type":"topic","character":"JuExchange","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"Bitcoin","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"cryptocurrency","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"blockchain","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"finance","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "}]}]
💥 Bitcoin’s Rare September Gains Point to Explosive Q4[{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"September has a reputation for being brutal to Bitcoin — but this year is different. BTC is set to close the month up ~4.5%, and history shows that when September ends in the green, Q4 tends to deliver fireworks."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Data from previous cycles (2015, 2016, 2023, 2024) shows that a positive September was followed by average Q4 returns of ~53%, with October usually acting as the launchpad. In those years, BTC rallies ranged from 45% to 66%, often leading to new highs. If the pattern holds, we could be looking at $170K BTC before year-end."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"On-chain signals back the bullish case:"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🟡 Spot Taker CVD flipped positive for the first time since July → stronger buy pressure building."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🟡 Coinbase premium index shows US investors accumulating aggressively in Q3."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Of course, past performance isn’t a guarantee, but seasonality has been one of the most consistent drivers in Bitcoin’s history. Combine that with strong spot demand and thinning supply — and Q4 might just be the stage for the next leg up."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""},{"type":"topic","character":"cryptocurrency","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"Bitcoin","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"JuExchange","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"blockchain","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "}]}]
📉 Biggest Long Liquidation of 2025 Hits Bitcoin?[{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Bitcoin tumbled to $112K, wiping out over $1B in long positions — the largest single liquidation event of the year. Derivatives traders felt the full pain, with more than 400,000 accounts flushed in just 24 hours."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"What’s interesting is the split in sentiment:"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🐂 Some see this as a clean retest of support that could fuel a rebound toward $120K."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🐻 Others argue it’s just the beginning of a deeper correction, with bids stacked down near $106K–$108K acting like a magnet."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Meanwhile, Powell and fresh US inflation data are back in focus this week, alongside rumors of a “major political announcement” around Bitcoin. If true, it could reshape the narrative just as the market is wobbling."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"From my perspective, this flush was painful but healthy — the kind of shakeout that clears excess leverage. The real question now is whether bulls can defend $112K–$110K or if we’re staring at a trip toward $100K before the next leg higher."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""},{"type":"topic","character":"cryptocurrency","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"blockchain","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"Bitcoin","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"JuExchange","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "}]}]