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JU Blog2025-09-15 14:51
Polymarket Research Report: Predictive Markets Project Analysis

Polymarket has revolutionized prediction markets, transforming from "niche betting" to "public probability infrastructure" with $14B+ cumulative trading volume and 20K+ daily active users.

💡 What Makes Polymarket Special:

    Decentralized prediction market built on Polygon Trade on real-world events with Yes/No tokens Superior price discovery with deep liquidity On-chain verifiable settlement via UMA's Optimistic Oracle No KYC required, wallet-based trading

🎯 How It Works: 1️⃣ Pick an event (elections, Fed rates, tech launches, sports) 2️⃣ Buy "Yes" or "No" shares based on your prediction 3️⃣ Correct predictions pay $1 per share, wrong ones = $0 4️⃣ Trade anytime before event resolution

📊 Market Impact:

    $3.6B trading volume during US election cycle Accurately predicted election outcomes before vote counts Used by major media (Bloomberg) as information source Twitter partnership for social integration $40M average daily trading volume

🚀 Recent Developments:

    $200M funding round led by Peter Thiel's Founders Fund $1B valuation milestone reached Track funding hit $400M in H1 2025 alone Market projected to exceed $100B by 2035

⚠️ Key Challenges:

    Event definition ambiguities and dispute resolution Information asymmetry and potential manipulation Oracle mechanism governance risks Regulatory uncertainties across jurisdictions

🔥 Investment Thesis: Prediction markets represent the next evolution of information financialization - turning collective wisdom into tradeable assets. With growing macro uncertainty and demand for real-time probability pricing, Polymarket is positioned as the leading "cognition monetization" platform.

💰 Market Examples:

    Fed rate decisions: $95M+ in bets iPhone pricing predictions: Real-time probability tracking Geopolitical events: Crowd-sourced intelligence Sports outcomes: Instant market reactions

The platform transforms complex global events into tradeable probabilities, making it an essential tool for understanding an uncertain world through market-based collective intelligence.

Read the complete analysis: 👇 https://blog.ju.com/polymarket-prediction-market-project-report/?utm_source=blog

#Polymarket #PredictionMarkets #Web3

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2025-09-15 14:52

Polymarket Research Report: Predictive Markets Project Analysis

[{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Polymarket has revolutionized prediction markets, transforming from \"niche betting\" to \"public probability infrastructure\" with $14B+ cumulative trading volume and 20K+ daily active users."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"💡 "},{"text":"What Makes Polymarket Special:","bold":true}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\nDecentralized prediction market built on Polygon\nTrade on real-world events with Yes/No tokens\nSuperior price discovery with deep liquidity\nOn-chain verifiable settlement via UMA's Optimistic Oracle\nNo KYC required, wallet-based trading\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🎯 "},{"text":"How It Works:","bold":true},{"text":"\n1️⃣ Pick an event (elections, Fed rates, tech launches, sports)\n2️⃣ Buy \"Yes\" or \"No\" shares based on your prediction\n3️⃣ Correct predictions pay $1 per share, wrong ones = $0\n4️⃣ Trade anytime before event resolution"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"📊 "},{"text":"Market Impact:","bold":true}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\n$3.6B trading volume during US election cycle\nAccurately predicted election outcomes before vote counts\nUsed by major media (Bloomberg) as information source\nTwitter partnership for social integration\n$40M average daily trading volume\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🚀 "},{"text":"Recent Developments:","bold":true}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\n$200M funding round led by Peter Thiel's Founders Fund\n$1B valuation milestone reached\nTrack funding hit $400M in H1 2025 alone\nMarket projected to exceed $100B by 2035\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"⚠️ "},{"text":"Key Challenges:","bold":true}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\nEvent definition ambiguities and dispute resolution\nInformation asymmetry and potential manipulation\nOracle mechanism governance risks\nRegulatory uncertainties across jurisdictions\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🔥 "},{"text":"Investment Thesis:","bold":true},{"text":"\nPrediction markets represent the next evolution of information financialization - turning collective wisdom into tradeable assets. With growing macro uncertainty and demand for real-time probability pricing, Polymarket is positioned as the leading \"cognition monetization\" platform."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"💰 "},{"text":"Market Examples:","bold":true}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\nFed rate decisions: $95M+ in bets\niPhone pricing predictions: Real-time probability tracking\nGeopolitical events: Crowd-sourced intelligence\nSports outcomes: Instant market reactions\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"The platform transforms complex global events into tradeable probabilities, making it an essential tool for understanding an uncertain world through market-based collective intelligence."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Read the complete analysis: 👇\n"},{"type":"link","url":"https://blog.ju.com/polymarket-prediction-market-project-report/?utm_source=blog","children":[{"text":"https://blog.ju.com/polymarket-prediction-market-project-report/?utm_source=blog"}]},{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""},{"type":"topic","character":"Polymarket","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"PredictionMarkets","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"Web3","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "}]}]
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JU Blog
JU Blog2025-11-10 05:34
Prediction Markets 2025: $7.4B Monthly Volume as Polymarket & Kalshi Lead the Revolution

The prediction market sector exploded in 2025, with industry leaders Polymarket and Kalshi combining for a record-breaking $7.4 billion in monthly trading volume. Here's your essential guide to this rapidly evolving ecosystem:

📊 Market Leaders Performance:

Polymarket (Decentralized)

    Monthly active traders: 477,850 (↑93.7% MoM) October trading volume: $3.02 billion Valuation: $9 billion (talks for $12-15B round) Funding: $205M raised + $2B from ICE (NYSE parent) Strategy: Re-entering U.S. market by November 2025 Token launch: POLY token with airdrop coming soon

Kalshi (Regulated)

    October trading volume: $4.4 billion (surpassing Polymarket) CFTC-approved, fully compliant platform Integrated with Robinhood and mainstream finance apps Dominates sports prediction markets ($1.1B/week) Non-crypto, off-chain operations

🚀 Rising Stars in the Ecosystem:

Limitless (Base Chain)

    $500M+ cumulative trading volume $18M total funding ($10M seed round in Oct 2025) 25x growth from August to September Focus: Ultra-short-term markets (30 min - 1 hour) Native token: LMTS

Opinion (BNB Chain)

    First comprehensive prediction market on BNB Chain Mainnet launched October 2025 OPN trading points system live Whitelist invitation system currently active

Azuro Protocol (Infrastructure)

    28 integrated front-end applications 28,000 monthly active users $350M+ cumulative volume Powers 80% of decentralized prediction markets

💡 Key Industry Insights:

✅ Growth Drivers:

    Institutional capital flooding in (ICE, Sequoia, a16z) Token airdrop expectations driving user acquisition Political events and macro forecasting demand Professional trader adoption (arbitrage & liquidity provision)

⚠️ Current Challenges:

    Regulatory uncertainty (CFTC oversight evolving) Liquidity concentrated in hot events Public perception = "gambling" stigma Long-tail markets lack depth

🎯 Strategic Differences:

Polymarket: Crypto-native, decentralized, strong in politics/macro Kalshi: Compliance-first, mainstream access, dominates sports betting

📈 Industry Outlook:

The sector stands at a critical inflection point. For prediction markets to achieve mainstream adoption:

    Mainstream media must adopt as primary data source Clear regulatory frameworks needed for institutional capital Product innovation to lower user barriers Deeper Web3 integration (DeFi, SocialFi, RWA)

💰 Infrastructure Layer:

UMA Protocol serves as critical oracle infrastructure, adjudicating outcomes for ~80% of Polymarket's subjective markets through decentralized voting.

🛠️ Supporting Ecosystem Tools:

    Real-time news aggregators (PolymarketIntel, PolymarketTrade) Data analytics platforms (Polysights, hash_dive, poly_data) Trading tools (PolyAlertHub, NevuaMarkets, polybroapp) Mobile clients for on-the-go trading

🔑 Bottom Line:

Prediction markets in 2025 have evolved from crypto-native experiments to serious financial infrastructure with multi-billion dollar backing. While regulatory clarity remains the biggest hurdle, the combination of institutional investment, token incentives, and product innovation positions the sector for explosive mainstream growth.

October 2025's record $7.4B combined volume across just two platforms exceeded Polymarket's entire first four years—signaling we're only at the beginning of this market's potential.

Read the full in-depth analysis with detailed platform strategies and ecosystem breakdown: 👇 https://blog.ju.com/prediction-market-2025-polymarket-kalshi-ecosystem/

#PredictionMarkets #Polymarket #Kalshi

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2025-11-10 05:35

Prediction Markets 2025: $7.4B Monthly Volume as Polymarket & Kalshi Lead the Revolution

[{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"The prediction market sector exploded in 2025, with industry leaders Polymarket and Kalshi combining for a record-breaking $7.4 billion in monthly trading volume. Here's your essential guide to this rapidly evolving ecosystem:"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"📊 Market Leaders Performance:"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Polymarket","bold":true},{"text":" (Decentralized)"}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\nMonthly active traders: 477,850 (↑93.7% MoM)\nOctober trading volume: $3.02 billion\nValuation: $9 billion (talks for $12-15B round)\nFunding: $205M raised + $2B from ICE (NYSE parent)\nStrategy: Re-entering U.S. market by November 2025\nToken launch: POLY token with airdrop coming soon\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Kalshi","bold":true},{"text":" (Regulated)"}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\nOctober trading volume: $4.4 billion (surpassing Polymarket)\nCFTC-approved, fully compliant platform\nIntegrated with Robinhood and mainstream finance apps\nDominates sports prediction markets ($1.1B/week)\nNon-crypto, off-chain operations\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🚀 Rising Stars in the Ecosystem:"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Limitless","bold":true},{"text":" (Base Chain)"}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\n$500M+ cumulative trading volume\n$18M total funding ($10M seed round in Oct 2025)\n25x growth from August to September\nFocus: Ultra-short-term markets (30 min - 1 hour)\nNative token: LMTS\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Opinion","bold":true},{"text":" (BNB Chain)"}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\nFirst comprehensive prediction market on BNB Chain\nMainnet launched October 2025\nOPN trading points system live\nWhitelist invitation system currently active\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Azuro Protocol","bold":true},{"text":" (Infrastructure)"}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\n28 integrated front-end applications\n28,000 monthly active users\n$350M+ cumulative volume\nPowers 80% of decentralized prediction markets\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"💡 Key Industry Insights:"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"✅ Growth Drivers:"}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\nInstitutional capital flooding in (ICE, Sequoia, a16z)\nToken airdrop expectations driving user acquisition\nPolitical events and macro forecasting demand\nProfessional trader adoption (arbitrage & liquidity provision)\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"⚠️ Current Challenges:"}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\nRegulatory uncertainty (CFTC oversight evolving)\nLiquidity concentrated in hot events\nPublic perception = \"gambling\" stigma\nLong-tail markets lack depth\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🎯 Strategic Differences:"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Polymarket","bold":true},{"text":": Crypto-native, decentralized, strong in politics/macro\n"},{"text":"Kalshi","bold":true},{"text":": Compliance-first, mainstream access, dominates sports betting"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"📈 Industry Outlook:"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"The sector stands at a critical inflection point. For prediction markets to achieve mainstream adoption:"}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\nMainstream media must adopt as primary data source\nClear regulatory frameworks needed for institutional capital\nProduct innovation to lower user barriers\nDeeper Web3 integration (DeFi, SocialFi, RWA)\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"💰 Infrastructure Layer:"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"UMA Protocol serves as critical oracle infrastructure, adjudicating outcomes for ~80% of Polymarket's subjective markets through decentralized voting."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🛠️ Supporting Ecosystem Tools:"}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"text":"\nReal-time news aggregators (PolymarketIntel, PolymarketTrade)\nData analytics platforms (Polysights, hash_dive, poly_data)\nTrading tools (PolyAlertHub, NevuaMarkets, polybroapp)\nMobile clients for on-the-go trading\n"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"🔑 Bottom Line:"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Prediction markets in 2025 have evolved from crypto-native experiments to serious financial infrastructure with multi-billion dollar backing. While regulatory clarity remains the biggest hurdle, the combination of institutional investment, token incentives, and product innovation positions the sector for explosive mainstream growth."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"October 2025's record $7.4B combined volume across just two platforms exceeded Polymarket's entire first four years—signaling we're only at the beginning of this market's potential."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Read the full in-depth analysis with detailed platform strategies and ecosystem breakdown: 👇\n"},{"type":"link","url":"https://blog.ju.com/prediction-market-2025-polymarket-kalshi-ecosystem/","children":[{"text":"https://blog.ju.com/prediction-market-2025-polymarket-kalshi-ecosystem/"}]},{"text":""}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":""},{"type":"topic","character":"PredictionMarkets","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"Polymarket","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"Kalshi","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "}]}]
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Lee | Ju.Com
Lee | Ju.Com2025-11-13 05:19
🔥 Yahoo Finance Taps Polymarket as Exclusive Prediction Market Provider!

💥Polymarket said on Wednesday that data from its prediction market platform will be integrated into Yahoo Finance, expanding elements of its product to potentially more people.

  • The announcement was made on X, in which Polymarket said that it had become Yahoo Finance’s “exclusive prediction market partner,” while sharing a 30-second video featuring the song “Timeless” by The Weekend and Playboi Carti.
  • A divisive presidential election boosted Polymarket’s profile last year, and the company has linked up with recognizable names in tech and finance—including New York Stock Exchange owner Intercontinental Exchange, or ICE—as it tries to build on that momentum and return to U.S. markets.
  • Yahoo Finance sources data from several entities, but ICE Data Services provides coverage for all of its markets and indices, spanning from Argentina to Vietnam. ICE planned to invest up to $2 billion in Polymarket, the prediction market said last month.
  • Yahoo Finance debuted in 1997, and the website had more than 150 million global monthly visitors last year, according to its parent company. In the U.S., Yahoo Finance is currently ranked fifth among publishers in terms of popularity, according to data from Similarweb.
  • Partnerships with publications like Yahoo Finance allow Polymarket to expand its potential reach, yet the company faces stiff competition from Kalshi.

Polymarket 🤝 Yahoo:

We’re excited to announce Polymarket is now the exclusive prediction market partner for Yahoo Finance. pic.twitter.com/eramDARxHr

— Polymarket (@Polymarket) November 12, 2025

  • In terms of notional trading volume, Polymarket and Kalshi have generated $1 billion and $1.3 billion over the past week, respectively, according to a Dune dashboard. A year ago, as the U.S. presidential race climaxed, Polymarket led the prediction markets space.
  • Kalshi teamed up with retail brokerage Robinhood to offer its customers access to prediction markets earlier this year, with an emphasis on professional sports. Last week, CEO Vlad Tenev described prediction-market activity as one of Robinhood’s fastest growing segments.
  • Prediction markets are also being folded into social gaming apps like MyPrize, which signed a distribution deal this week with Crypto.com’s North American affiliate. Crypto.com’s prediction markets are also set to be distributed by fantasy sports app Underdog, among others.

The competition between Polymarket and Kalshi is as intense as ever, but it appears that some firms aren’t interested in picking sides. For example, when Google said that prediction market data would be folded into Google Finance, it chose to tap both firms—and the NHL licensed trademarks to both platforms in a joint announcement last month.

#YahooFinance#Polymarket #Jucom #cryptocurrency #blockchain $JU/USDT $ETH/USDT $BTC/USDT

#Jucom#Polymarket#YahooFinance#blockchain#cryptocurrency$JU/USDT$ETH/USDT$BTC/USDT
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Lee | Ju.Com

2025-11-13 05:21

🔥 Yahoo Finance Taps Polymarket as Exclusive Prediction Market Provider!

[{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"💥Polymarket said on Wednesday that data from its prediction market platform will be integrated into Yahoo Finance, expanding elements of its product to potentially more people."}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"The announcement was made on X, in which Polymarket said that it had become Yahoo Finance’s “exclusive prediction market partner,” while sharing a 30-second video featuring the song “Timeless” by The Weekend and Playboi Carti."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"A divisive presidential election boosted Polymarket’s profile last year, and the company has linked up with recognizable names in tech and finance—including New York Stock Exchange owner Intercontinental Exchange, or ICE—as it tries to build on that momentum and return to U.S. markets."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Yahoo Finance sources data from several entities, but ICE Data Services provides coverage for all of its markets and indices, spanning from Argentina to Vietnam. ICE planned to invest up to $2 billion in Polymarket, the prediction market said last month."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Yahoo Finance debuted in 1997, and the website had more than 150 million global monthly visitors last year, according to its parent company. In the U.S., Yahoo Finance is currently ranked fifth among publishers in terms of popularity, according to data from Similarweb."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Partnerships with publications like Yahoo Finance allow Polymarket to expand its potential reach, yet the company faces stiff competition from Kalshi."}]}]},{"type":"block-quote","children":[{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"Polymarket 🤝 Yahoo:"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"We’re excited to announce Polymarket is now the exclusive prediction market partner for Yahoo Finance. pic.twitter.com/eramDARxHr"}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"— Polymarket (@Polymarket) November 12, 2025"}]}]},{"type":"bulleted-list","children":[{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"In terms of notional trading volume, Polymarket and Kalshi have generated $1 billion and $1.3 billion over the past week, respectively, according to a Dune dashboard. A year ago, as the U.S. presidential race climaxed, Polymarket led the prediction markets space."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Kalshi teamed up with retail brokerage Robinhood to offer its customers access to prediction markets earlier this year, with an emphasis on professional sports. Last week, CEO Vlad Tenev described prediction-market activity as one of Robinhood’s fastest growing segments."}]},{"type":"list-item","children":[{"text":"Prediction markets are also being folded into social gaming apps like MyPrize, which signed a distribution deal this week with Crypto.com’s North American affiliate. Crypto.com’s prediction markets are also set to be distributed by fantasy sports app Underdog, among others."}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"The competition between Polymarket and Kalshi is as intense as ever, but it appears that some firms aren’t interested in picking sides. For example, when Google said that prediction market data would be folded into Google Finance, it chose to tap both firms—and the NHL licensed trademarks to both platforms in a joint announcement last month."}]},{"type":"paragraph","children":[{"text":"\n"},{"type":"topic","character":"YahooFinance","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":""},{"type":"topic","character":"Polymarket","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"Jucom","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"cryptocurrency","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"topic","character":"blockchain","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"coin","currencyId":128,"currency":"ju","symbolId":73,"symbol":"ju_usdt","logo":"https://storage.webstatic.cc/1/currency/3908d2d8-94c4-4db9-9fc5-9a5bdaae5860-1758872417826.png","fullName":"JU","character":"JU/USDT","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"coin","currencyId":8,"currency":"eth","symbolId":7,"symbol":"eth_usdt","logo":"https://web.jucoin.online/cdn/coin/logo/eth.png","fullName":"Ethereum","character":"ETH/USDT","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "},{"type":"coin","currencyId":7,"currency":"btc","symbolId":6,"symbol":"btc_usdt","logo":"https://web.jucoin.online/cdn/coin/logo/btc.png","fullName":"Bitcoin","character":"BTC/USDT","children":[{"text":""}]},{"text":" "}]}]
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